Research

Dollar Index bounces, Flash Crashes galore

Just one day  prior to the anniversary of Dow’s 1000 point crash, the Ghosts of the ‘flash crash’ came back to haunt risk assets with greater ferocity. Crude got walloped by 10%, Gold got slammed by over $50 and Silver was decimated by another 12% on top of its recent sharp drop!! The force behind this […]

Dollar Index – another bounce on the cards?

The trendline highlighted on the weekly charts has been a solid support for the Dollar Index despite consistent efforts by the Federal reserve to debase the currency. An ascent past 78.8-79 would increase the odds of this rally having more legs and clearing the 200 MA( currently placed at 81.61). The much awaited correction for […]

Red Alert: Five Charts and their implications

A couple of  weeks back I had posted a note on my own derived indicator and highlighted how important it was for the indicator to hold above the previous trough. On Friday, this indicator dipped below the previous trough on a closing basis and has warned that the Indian markets have probably peaked and a […]

Dollar Index – Either a bottom is around the corner or a bottom is in place

The daily charts of Dollar Index shown above, the drop from October lows to November lows is not matched by a momentum drop. This kind of positive divergence is usually a precursor to a trend change. The UUP charts shown above, a morning star candlestick pattern is visible.  When this pattern occurs it is usually […]